About the only predictable part of this British Open is the weather.
The biggest surprise is the list of contenders for the claret jug.
The weather was wild again Saturday, shifting from a raging wind to a gentle sea breeze, from a driving rain to brilliant sunshine, and leaving most of the field wet, tired and feeling as though they got the short end of the draw. That's not unusual.
More peculiar was seeing Darren Clarke atop the leaderboard after a 1-under 69, his first time in contention at a major in 10 years. Right behind was Dustin Johnson, who was 4 over through the opening 13 holes of this championship and somehow wound up in the final group.
Thomas Bjorn, who threw away the British Open eight years ago at Royal St. George's, was the first alternate at the start of the week and is only three shots behind. There's also a 22-year-old who plays without fear and makes it look fun — only it's not U.S. Open champion Rory McIlroy, but Rickie Fowler.
Could anyone have predicted these storylines at the start of the week?
"No," Johnson replied. "I was playing pretty well, but you never know, especially coming into a British Open."
At least today might be a little easier to sort out.
Clarke escaped the worst of the raging weather Saturday, leaving him far less traffic on his unlikely road to a claret jug.
He was dressed in full rain gear when he walked to the first tee for a third round that had been crowded with contenders. When he walked off the 18th green in short sleeves, he had a one-shot lead and was blinking in the bright sunshine over Royal St. George's.
There were 44 players within five shots of the lead going into the third round.
Now there are 12.
"Sometimes to win any tournament, the draw can make a big difference," Clarke said. "But in The Open Championship, it makes a huge difference. We got very lucky."
He also was very good.
Clarke missed only two greens in regulation, and was one of three players who managed to break par. It was his third round in the 60s, and it put him at 5-under 205 and into the final group of the British Open for the first time since 1997 at Royal Troon.
Fewer contenders doesn't make it any easier.
Johnson, the powerful 27-year-old American, managed to make six birdies on his way to a 68 that puts him in the final group for the third time in the last six majors. The other two aren't exactly glorious memories — an 82 to lose a three-shot lead at the U.S. Open last year, a two-shot penalty on the last hole of the PGA Championship when he didn't realize he was in a bunker.
"I'm going to be pretty comfortable out there tomorrow because I know what to expect, I know how to approach it, and I know what I do in those situations," Johnson said.
Fowler hung around par during the worst of the conditions — a remarkable feat — and when the rain went away, he took off to higher ground. Fowler made three birdies over the last six holes for a 68 and was two shots behind, along with Thomas Bjorn (71).
Fowler played with McIlroy, whose hopes ended with a tee shot that went out of bounds on the 14th. He shot 74 and was nine shots behind.
Lucas Glover, a U.S. Open champion who played in the final group Saturday, shot 73 but still was within four shots. He was tied with Miguel Angel Jimenez, who didn't make a birdie in his round of 72.
Also still in the mix is Phil Mickelson, who salvaged a 71, leaving him five shots back in a group that included Anthony Kim (68), PGA champion Martin Kaymer (73) and Ryder Cup captain Davis Love III, who had a 72 to stay in range.
Today: 6 a.m.-1:30 p.m. TV: ESPN